Recent media reports indicate that
Saudi Arabia and the UAE have contracted Eritrea’s government for
assistance in the War on Yemen, using the East African state as a
transit and logistics base for their operations, as well as 400 of its
troops for cannon fodder in Aden.
Add to it the Qatari soldiers that have
already been present on the ground for a few years to “mediate” the
border dispute with Djibouti, and the most important members of the Gulf
Cooperation Council (GCC) have unexpectedly converged in what many
might think to be among one of the most unlikeliest of places. While it
may have been difficult to foresee this happening, in hindsight it
actually makes quite a lot of sense, and contrary to the conventional
assessment that this is about Yemen, the argument can be made that it’s
also just as much about Ethiopia as well. Unbeknownst to many, Qatar is
the “ox driving the cart” in this case, and whether they like it or not,
the rest of the GCC states will be reluctantly forced to follow its
destabilizing lead if Doha decides to throw Ethiopia into chaos.
The research expands on the briefing first laid out by South Front
and should be seen as a continuation of their original work. It begins
by setting the context for what’s been going on along the Horn of Africa
lately and how the GCC’s military advances fit into the larger context
of recent history. The piece then investigates the levers of influence
for how Qatar could destabilize Ethiopia as well as its radical
ideological motivations for doing so. Finally, the article concludes
with a scenario study of how Qatar could engineer an Unconventional War
to bring down Africa’s next up-and-coming power readmore
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